Anxious about my retirement, so I started investing in stocks DAY 97 [What became clear from the Basic Policies 2026]
—Walking with Haru, Age 60 Investment Record Day 97—
I watched the second lecture by the same instructor.
The theme was "How to find national policy stocks."
〈The adage: Never sell on national policy〉
Fields that the government focuses on receive budget allocations, making it easier for companies' performance to grow.
Fields supported by policy are more likely to see progress in capital investment and research and development.
There is a stock market adage that says "Never sell on national policy," suggesting that fields with government backing tend to see rising stock prices.
The idea that government policy itself acts as a "trigger" for stock price movement was a type of catalyst I learned about on DAY 70.
Back then, I categorized them into three types, and today I am digging deeper into the "catalysts related to government policy" among them.
The procedure for finding them was surprisingly simple.
There is a document called the "Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform" (often called "Honebuto no Hoshin"), which the government releases every year around June.
The search method was divided into three steps.
1. Read the Basic Policies and find themes that were newly included compared to the previous year.
2. Look for companies that seem to be involved in those themes.
3. Check disclosure information to see how much they are actually involved in that business.
🌸 Me: "I've heard the name 'Basic Policies' before, but I've never actually read it."
🌱 "The lecture used the 2025 version as an example. Since we're at it, why don't you check the current Basic Policies with your own eyes?" —Haru
〈When I looked it up, it had just been decided〉
Prompted by that, I decided to look it up.
The Basic Policies 2026 had just been approved by the Cabinet on July 21, 2026.
Moreover, it was the first Basic Policies under the Takaichi Cabinet.
The changes from the previous year (the Ishiba administration) were not just about "newly added themes" as mentioned in the lecture; the very way fiscal goals were set had changed.
From the approach of aiming for a "primary balance surplus" to the approach of aiming for a "stable decline in the ratio of central and local government debt to GDP."
The subtitle read, "The first year of responsible proactive fiscal policy."
🌸 Me: "I never imagined that the 'fiscal' goals themselves would change."
🌱 "When the administration changes, not only are new themes added, but the very foundation of the thinking can change. The Basic Policies is a document that reflects both of those things." —Haru
〈Among the 17 strategic fields, there was a name I knew〉
In the Basic Policies 2026, 17 strategic fields were presented.
It is said that over 370 trillion yen in public-private investment is expected for the 62 technologies included therein, cumulatively through fiscal year 2040.
AI/semiconductors, digital/cybersecurity, defense industry, shipbuilding, drug discovery/advanced medicine, resource/energy security/GX, disaster prevention/national resilience, content... I looked at the listed fields one by one.
Among them, there was a familiar name. The item "Resource/Energy Security/GX" overlapped with INPEX, which I have on my watchlist.
And although "shipbuilding" was introduced as a new theme in the 2025 version, it remained a priority field in the 2026 version as well.
Themes that continue even after the administration changes might be deeply rooted.
I also read through Toto-san's article, which covers the same Basic Policies 2026.
He cited Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, which stands at the top domestically in all three strategic fields of defense, space, and next-generation energy, as the company most likely to benefit.https://note.com/toto0316/n/n4296a22366b8
Realizing that individual investors are indeed paying attention to these Basic Policies, I felt a little relieved that my way of researching wasn't off the mark.
💬 Satsuki's questions and Haru's answers
🌸 Me: "When I realize that INPEX is also involved in national policy, my perspective on it somehow changes."
🌱 "Yes. When you arrive at the same company from various angles—the mix coefficient, dividends, interest rates, and national policy—it becomes that much easier to feel confident." — Haru
<The most important thing I understood today>
When following national policy, it was necessary to look not only at the new and old themes of 'what was newly added this year,' but also at whether the way of thinking behind the policy itself had changed.
And finding the name of a stock I'm monitoring within a government policy document that seemed like a distant topic was today's biggest harvest.
I will continue tomorrow.
📚 Click here for related articles from DAY 97
Click here for DAY 96 https://note.com/satsuki_60/n/n060b32a05a22
#BasicPolicies #NationalPolicyStocks #INPEX #InvestingInYour60s #RetirementAnxiety #InvestingBeginner #StartedWithAI #WorkingTogetherWithHaru
