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How to Protect the Future of the Rice We Eat Every Day? A Necessary Shift in Thinking for Rice as a Base Food

“Rice has become expensive,” “It’s hard to get”—we hear these comments often lately.

However, this is not a temporary “anomaly,” but a structural “change.”
Rather than hoping for prices to return to normal, we may have reached a point where we need to rethink our very “approach to rice.”



The era of rice being “cheap by default” is over

Rice was once assumed to be “cheap and easy to buy in bulk.”

However, currently...
• Aging producers
• Decreased production due to acreage reduction policies
• Unfavorable weather, inventory depletion, and labor shortages
• Panic-driven demand concentration (hometown tax donations, social media)

With multiple factors like these overlapping, the supply structure itself is changing.

In other words, we have entered a phase where we must think about “how to continue eating it stably” rather than “how to bring prices back down.”



Rice as a base food is akin to a “public good”

Rice is not just a food product.
As a staple food eaten every day, it supports our health, culture, and living infrastructure.

Just like water or electricity, if left to the market and prices or distribution become chaotic, it affects the entire national livelihood.
That is precisely why rice as a “base food” requires a perspective of it being a public good.



The value of domestic rice should be increased

Rather than being pessimistic about this situation, it is also important to increase the value of Japanese rice.
• Development of brand rice and export support
• Creating demand in dining out and high-value-added markets
• Providing experiential value linked to regional culture

We need policies that foster “rice that is chosen” and “rice to be proud of,” rather than just efforts to lower prices.



However, “rice that can be eaten stably” must also be protected at the same time

For the Japanese diet, it is essential to have rice that can be bought with peace of mind every day.

However, the reality is that it is difficult to handle all of that with domestic production alone under the current structure.
• Reviewing acreage reduction policies → Effects take time
• Labor shortages → Smart agriculture is an urgent task
• Even if we increase fields, there are no successors

I believe we need a “strategy to protect the rice infrastructure” by adjusting supply and demand with “imported rice + stockpiled rice,” rather than forcing domestic production to support everything.



Imports and stockpiles are not “threats” but “flexible design”

Instead of viewing “imports = bad” and “stockpiles = unnecessary costs,”
• Cultivating valuable domestic rice
• Securing volume with imported rice to prevent sudden supply and demand tightness
• Absorbing time lags with stockpiles

Isn't a layered distribution structure like this what is required for future rice policy?



Conclusion: An era to think of rice as divided into “luxury items” and “infrastructure”

The key to future rice policy is not “what to do with the whole,” but how to design it according to its role.
• “Rice as a luxury item” that protects culture and value
• “Rice as infrastructure” that supports daily life

To protect both, we need policy redesign based on the future, rather than just leaving it to the market or cutting costs.

From “I’m troubled because rice is expensive” to “How can I continue to eat it with peace of mind?”
That shift in thinking may be what is needed most right now.

Rethinking Rice as a Base Food:
How to Secure Daily Access in a Changing Era



1. The era of “cheap rice” is over

Japan’s rice prices are unlikely to fall again.
Aging farmers, reduced production, labor shortages, and unpredictable weather have all strained supply.
We need to shift from “make it cheaper” to “how to secure stable access.”



2. Rice is infrastructure, not just a product

As a daily staple, rice plays a role like water or electricity.
When left to the market alone, supply volatility threatens food security.
We must treat rice as a public good, at least at the base level.



3. Raise the value of premium domestic rice
• Support branding and exports
• Build demand in food service and tourism
• Promote Japan’s rice as a cultural asset

Let high-quality rice evolve into a high-value product rather than a commodity.



4. Ensure access to daily rice for everyone

While premium rice grows in value, we still need affordable, daily rice for all households.

But increasing domestic supply isn’t easy:
• Reforming reduction policies takes time
• Labor shortages persist
• Farmland expansion is limited

So we need a flexible system: imports + smart reserves to stabilize the supply.



5. A layered approach: premium vs. base

We should stop treating all rice equally in policy.

Let premium rice grow as a high-value brand,
while ensuring stable base rice through imports, automation, and strategic storage.



Conclusion:

Rice is not just food. It’s infrastructure.
By designing a dual system—luxury and necessity, culture and sustenance—
we can protect our food future, not just for the rich, but for everyone.

#RicePolicy #BaseFood #FoodSecurity #AgricultureAndFuture #FoodInfrastructure #SmartAgriculture #ImportedRice #AcreageReductionPolicy #StructuralThinking #Aki’sChronicle

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