What the Ground Meat in the Fridge Teaches Us About 'Expectation' and 'Prediction'

"I have a feeling tomorrow's dinner will be hamburger steak."
Do you think this is an "expectation"? Or do you think it's a "prediction"?
……My answer is "expectation."

Then, what about thinking, "There's ground meat in the fridge, and the expiration date is tomorrow, so hamburger steak will probably be served tomorrow"?
Yes, that is closer to a "prediction."


First of all, I think an "expectation" is, frankly, like a hunch.

We've been having fish lately, so I feel like I'm in the mood for meat.

"I just have a feeling I'll have the energy to knead hamburger meat tomorrow!"

These are all "wishful thinking." I haven't looked inside the fridge, and I haven't calculated how hard work will be tomorrow or how much energy I'll have left.

In a way, it's the state of a "romanticist" dreaming of an ideal menu. The cute thing about an "expectation" is that even if you're wrong, you can just say, "Well, it can't be helped."


In contrast, a "prediction" is more of a logical "deduction."
I feel.

The real work starts after you swing open the fridge door.

There is a pack of ground meat.

The expiration date is tomorrow.

I can leave work on time tomorrow, so I have time to knead it.

By stacking up this "evidence," I conclude, "Alright, there's a 95% chance tomorrow's dinner will be hamburger steak!"

This is less like cooking and more like inventory management or
project management, isn't it?


If you operate only on "expectations," you tend to panic when it's time to cook, thinking, "I don't have eggs!" or "I'm out of breadcrumbs!"

But if you make a proper "prediction," you won't waste ingredients, and above all, the "hesitation" disappears.
That's because the hard evidence of the "ground meat's expiration date" gives the menu a sense of "inevitability."



Thank you for reading this far.

Finally, I thought about whether this article itself is an "expectation" or a "prediction."

It is the hope that you, the reader, might enjoy making your menu just a little bit more. Since this is a personal "wish," it is a 100% expectation😊 Even if the hamburger steak turns into minced meat cutlets,
isn't that fine?😋

Even if you get over 100,000 likes on note, in the end, the most important thing is the realization grounded in daily life, like "what should I do with the ground meat in front of me."
Well then🍡