Implementation Theory of Degrowth (3-3): Implementation and Feasibility—Answering the Question, 'Will It Really Work?'
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For details of the dialogue, please refer to the link on the original site.)
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Part 3-3: Implementation and Feasibility—Answering the Question, 'Will It Really Work?'
In the discussion so far,
reconceptualizing the economy as an algorithm
setting target states and having them automatically converge
designing an economic structure that does not assume growth
are the concepts I have presented.
On the other hand, it is natural that many who have read this far would have the following questions:
I understand the logic, but
can it really work in the real economy?
Won't it cause chaos on the ground?
This time, we will face this "implementation and feasibility" issue head-on.
1. The Biggest Misconception: "Everything Must Be Perfected All at Once"
First, I would like to clear up a common misconception.
That is,
this concept
cannot function without a perfect data infrastructure and real-time management
That is the understanding.
To start with the conclusion, that is incorrect.
A design-model economy differs from conventional institutional design in that it:
does not demand perfect precision from the start
is designed on the premise of an incomplete state
assumes it will become smarter in stages
is how it differs from conventional institutional design.
This is a concept similar to 'beta testing' in software development.
2. Automatic adjustment does not increase 'on-site operations'
The next most common concern is:
won't business decisions and administrative procedures become complicated if parameters are adjusted automatically?
That is the point.
Here, too, what is important is who is the subject of the adjustment.
In a design-model economy, the structure is as follows:
individual companies and citizens do not need to change their decisions every time
adjustments are provided as 'environmental conditions'
the front lines act freely under those conditions
is the structure it takes.
For example,
When carbon emissions approach the limit,
energy-related coefficients change automatically,
and high-emission behaviors become 'slightly less advantageous'
that is all.
What companies and citizens do remains the same as before.
Making the most rational choice within the given conditions,
that is all there is to it.
3. Prior application and prior calculation can be made unnecessary
As a practical concern,
won't LCA calculations or environmental assessments be required every time?
Some might ask this.
However, design ingenuity can be applied here as well.
By not performing precise evaluations for individual cases,
using average coefficients for each activity category,
and performing statistical corrections later,
by adopting such a method,
prior procedures will not increase,
evaluation accuracy can be gradually improved,
and fraud or extreme discrepancies can be handled through post-processing.
This is how it will take shape.
It is the same as how
tax systems and insurance schemes operate on 'estimates' rather than perfect individual optimization.
4. Why we can start even without complete data
Another major concern is the issue of data.
Can it really work
when there isn't enough data yet?
The answer to this is also clear.
Yes, it can work.
The reason is simple:
Perfect accuracy doesn't exist from the start anyway
Current GDP and statistics also operate on estimates
What matters is 'direction' and 'feedback'
That is why.
In a design-model economy, we can proceed with a 'focused improvement' approach where we:
Start with rough indicators
Identify where problems arise
Increase accuracy only in those areas
This is how we can proceed.
5. Realistic steps for phased implementation
Here, I will briefly organize the practical implementation steps.
Step 1: Single Metric, Single Domain
Start with agreed-upon metrics, such as carbon emissions
Limit the scope of impact as well
Step 2: Pilot Introduction of Automatic Adjustments
Link tax rates or subsidy rates in small increments
Observe the impact on the market
Step 3: Integration of Multiple Metrics
Gradually add social and environmental indicators
Make the weighting public and open to discussion
Step 4: Citizen-Participatory Adjustments
Democratically update target values and priorities
The model itself learns
What is important is that it is 'reversible' at any stage.
6. Proceeding with the Premise That 'You Won't Know Until You Try It'
Conventional institutional design has been bound by the premise of
designing perfectly before implementation
as a requirement.
However, in today's complex modern society,
It is impossible to design something perfectly before putting it into operation.
is.
The design-model economy shifts its perspective here.
Learning while operating
Designing with the premise of failure
Building the possibility of correction into the system itself
This is not irresponsible, but rather
the most realistic attitude toward uncertainty.
7. Feasibility is not about being 'perfect'
Finally, let's summarize the main points of this section.
The feasibility of a design-model economy does not depend on:
perfect precision
complete data
immediate consensus from everyone
.
What it depends on is:
being able to start small
being able to make corrections along the way
being transparent
being able to update democratically
is.
This is, in fact, a way of thinking that we
have already become accustomed to through software and the internet.
Next Episode Preview
In the next installment (Part 3-4),
degrowth theory
doughnut economics
green growth
and the relationship of this concept will be organized, and
this is not a rehash of existing ideas, but
an attempt to fill the void in the implementation layer
will be clearly defined.
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Theory of Implementing Degrowth (3-3): Implementation and Feasibility—Answering the Question, 'Does It Really Work?' --- This article
Theory of Implementing Degrowth (6-3): How Systems Work—How Coarse Weighting Changes the Economy
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