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Implementation Theory of Degrowth (3-3): Implementation and Feasibility—Answering the Question, 'Will It Really Work?'


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  • (The following series is a summary of a series of dialogues with ChatGPT.
    For details of the dialogue, please refer to the link on the original site.)

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Part 3-3: Implementation and Feasibility—Answering the Question, 'Will It Really Work?'


In the discussion so far,

  • reconceptualizing the economy as an algorithm

  • setting target states and having them automatically converge

  • designing an economic structure that does not assume growth

are the concepts I have presented.

On the other hand, it is natural that many who have read this far would have the following questions:

I understand the logic, but
can it really work in the real economy?
Won't it cause chaos on the ground?

This time, we will face this "implementation and feasibility" issue head-on.



1. The Biggest Misconception: "Everything Must Be Perfected All at Once"

First, I would like to clear up a common misconception.

That is,

this concept
cannot function without a perfect data infrastructure and real-time management

That is the understanding.

To start with the conclusion, that is incorrect.

A design-model economy differs from conventional institutional design in that it:

  • does not demand perfect precision from the start

  • is designed on the premise of an incomplete state

  • assumes it will become smarter in stages

is how it differs from conventional institutional design.

This is a concept similar to 'beta testing' in software development.



2. Automatic adjustment does not increase 'on-site operations'

The next most common concern is:

won't business decisions and administrative procedures become complicated if parameters are adjusted automatically?

That is the point.

Here, too, what is important is who is the subject of the adjustment.

In a design-model economy, the structure is as follows:

  • individual companies and citizens do not need to change their decisions every time

  • adjustments are provided as 'environmental conditions'

  • the front lines act freely under those conditions

is the structure it takes.

For example,

  • When carbon emissions approach the limit,

  • energy-related coefficients change automatically,

  • and high-emission behaviors become 'slightly less advantageous'

that is all.

What companies and citizens do remains the same as before.

Making the most rational choice within the given conditions,

that is all there is to it.



3. Prior application and prior calculation can be made unnecessary

As a practical concern,

won't LCA calculations or environmental assessments be required every time?

Some might ask this.

However, design ingenuity can be applied here as well.

  • By not performing precise evaluations for individual cases,

  • using average coefficients for each activity category,

  • and performing statistical corrections later,

by adopting such a method,

  • prior procedures will not increase,

  • evaluation accuracy can be gradually improved,

  • and fraud or extreme discrepancies can be handled through post-processing.

This is how it will take shape.

It is the same as how
tax systems and insurance schemes operate on 'estimates' rather than perfect individual optimization.



4. Why we can start even without complete data

Another major concern is the issue of data.

Can it really work
when there isn't enough data yet?

The answer to this is also clear.

Yes, it can work.

The reason is simple:

  • Perfect accuracy doesn't exist from the start anyway

  • Current GDP and statistics also operate on estimates

  • What matters is 'direction' and 'feedback'

That is why.

In a design-model economy, we can proceed with a 'focused improvement' approach where we:

  • Start with rough indicators

  • Identify where problems arise

  • Increase accuracy only in those areas

This is how we can proceed.



5. Realistic steps for phased implementation

Here, I will briefly organize the practical implementation steps.

Step 1: Single Metric, Single Domain

  • Start with agreed-upon metrics, such as carbon emissions

  • Limit the scope of impact as well

Step 2: Pilot Introduction of Automatic Adjustments

  • Link tax rates or subsidy rates in small increments

  • Observe the impact on the market

Step 3: Integration of Multiple Metrics

  • Gradually add social and environmental indicators

  • Make the weighting public and open to discussion

Step 4: Citizen-Participatory Adjustments

  • Democratically update target values and priorities

  • The model itself learns

What is important is that it is 'reversible' at any stage.



6. Proceeding with the Premise That 'You Won't Know Until You Try It'

Conventional institutional design has been bound by the premise of

designing perfectly before implementation

as a requirement.

However, in today's complex modern society,

It is impossible to design something perfectly before putting it into operation.

is.

The design-model economy shifts its perspective here.

  • Learning while operating

  • Designing with the premise of failure

  • Building the possibility of correction into the system itself

This is not irresponsible, but rather
the most realistic attitude toward uncertainty.



7. Feasibility is not about being 'perfect'

Finally, let's summarize the main points of this section.

The feasibility of a design-model economy does not depend on:

  • perfect precision

  • complete data

  • immediate consensus from everyone

.

What it depends on is:

  • being able to start small

  • being able to make corrections along the way

  • being transparent

  • being able to update democratically

is.

This is, in fact, a way of thinking that we
have already become accustomed to through software and the internet.



Next Episode Preview

In the next installment (Part 3-4),

  • degrowth theory

  • doughnut economics

  • green growth

and the relationship of this concept will be organized, and

this is not a rehash of existing ideas, but
an attempt to fill the void in the implementation layer

will be clearly defined.


> Next article:



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