🇯🇵 Market Shot: Today's Japanese Stock Market Conditions - Visualizing Today's Released Investor Type Trading Trend Data!

🔶 Today's Key Points

Resources & Energy Take Center Stage
In the US, energy was the only strong sector against the backdrop of rising crude oil prices. In Japan, non-ferrous metals surged over +3% due to higher copper prices.
👉 Cyclical rotation linked to global resource prices is prominent.

High-Tech Correction Tone
US interest rates rose to the 4.14% level, with AI investment cost concerns also weighing down. Nasdaq 100 continued to fall, showing a short-term "growth sell-off, resource buying" trend.

Return to Defensives
In the US, utilities and consumer staples were in positive territory. In Japan, electric power and gas were also among the top performers.
👉 Not risk aversion, but a polarization between "defense and resources."

Stable Sentiment
Both VIX at 16 level and Nikkei VI at 24 level declined. The market maintains a quiet stance of "waiting for risk events."

Attention to Japan Market Fund Flows
Short selling ratio at 61%, a high level. Margin trading profit/loss ratio at -6% level, showing somewhat deteriorating supply-demand conditions.
👉 High possibility of short squeezes or short-term short covering.

US-Japan Stock Indices and Other Market Data

Index/Rate | Price | Change | Change%

• Nikkei Average: 45,754.93 | +124.62 | +0.27%

• Nikkei Futures (CME): 45,455 | +80 | +0.18%

• Nikkei VI: 24.1 | -0.32 | -1.31%

• TOPIX: 3,185.35 | +14.9 | +0.47%

• Dow Jones: 46,121.28 | -171.5 | -0.37%

• NASDAQ: 24,503.57 | -76.6 | -0.31%

• S&P 500: 6,637.97 | -18.95 | -0.28%

• VIX: 16.18 | -0.46 | -2.76%

• SKEW: 145.87 | -0.66 | -0.45%

• US 10Y Treasury: 4.147 | +0.027 | +0.66%

• USD/JPY: 148.76 | +0.002 | +0.00%

• Bitcoin (USD): 111,621.284 | -1,729.416 | -1.53%

Nikkei 225 Heat Map

Investor Type Trading Trends Based on Today's Released Data

Compared to last week, all except trust banks have turned to selling, and while the total remains somewhat firm, the increased selling by overseas investors and individual investors is particularly noteworthy. Compared to the first week of September, this second week release represents the largest since April of this year.

🔶 US-Japan Top 5 Sector Gainers Ranking

Japanese Sectors:
Non-ferrous Metals (+3.2)
Oil & Coal Products (+1.8)
Electric Power & Gas (+1.4)
Services (+1.3)
Other Financials (+1.1)

🔶 Sentiment Analysis

• Nikkei VI (Japan VIX): 24.1 (-1.3%)

🔶 Japan Market Fund Conditions

• Put-Call Ratio (25-day): 110.1 (as of 9/24)

• Margin Trading P&L Ratio: -6.2% (week of 9/19)

• Short Selling Ratio (TSE): 61.7% (9/24)

🔶 Notable Trends and Background

Energy-Led Gains on Oil Rise - Background & Analysis: US crude oil rose +2.5%. Reports of presidential statements calling for halting energy imports from Russia were viewed as catalysts, with US energy showing relative strength. Utilities and consumer staples also saw defensive rotation.

Tech Continues Decline - AI Cost Concerns and 4.14% Interest Rates - Background & Analysis: The weight of generative AI investments raised margin pressure concerns. Rising interest rates also provided headwinds, causing tech to continue falling. However, with VIX declining, this isn't full risk-off but rather cyclical rotation.

Japan's Non-Ferrous Metals Top on Copper High & Supply Concerns - Background & Analysis: Disruptions at Indonesia's Grasberg mine led to downward supply revision expectations for 2025-2026, pushing copper futures higher. Funds flowed into domestic non-ferrous (gold, copper-related, recycling) stocks.

⚠️ Risk Factors

Today's Key Events: US Q2 GDP final, durable goods orders; US PCE also scheduled this week.
Expected Risks & Impact: Downside surprise → headwinds for cyclicals/materials, renewed rate cut expectations favoring defensives. Upside surprise → rising rates pressuring growth stocks, financials and energy showing relative strength.

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