【September 4, 2025】Toward the Final Stage of the Uptrend ─ Why the Price “Skipped a Step” and What to Watch Over the Next 3 Trading Days

One-line summary:
Today’s closing price was 13,140 yen (+640 yen / +5.12%). While short-term overheating is present, the setup allows for consolidation and a renewed push to new highs.

Key support levels: 13,028 / 12,650 / 12,335 / 11,968 / 11,336 yen

Oscillator turning up from 35.9 → 38.9, signaling renewed momentum

RSI at 74.6, in strong bullish territory; histogram at -16.3, showing cooling of excess heat

Price cycle: 6/23 → 7/15 → 8/25, about every 3–4 weeks a pullback forms

Table of Contents (SEO)

Today’s Summary (Price, Volume, Technicals)

Support & Resistance Levels and Next Steps

Scenarios for the Coming Sessions (Bullish, Neutral, Weak)

3-Day Checklist (For Beginners to Intermediates)

Risk and Capital Management Principles

Paid Section: Clear “Pass Criteria,” Trigger Levels, Detailed Framework, and Ticker Disclosure

Today’s Summary (Price, Volume, Technicals)

Closing Price: 13,140 yen (+5.12%)

Immediate supports: 13,028 → 12,650 → 12,335 → 11,968 → 11,336 yen

Oscillator (short-term): rebounded 35.88 → 38.89, recovering upward momentum

RSI: 74.63 (strong bullish zone) vs base line 69.80; sideways consolidation above 70 is constructive

Momentum: Histogram at -16.3 and shrinking = healthy gas release

Rhythm: 6/23 → 7/15 → 8/25 low cycles suggest early September is the blend of final surge + pullback

Keywords: stock analysis / technical analysis / uptrend / volume profile / support & resistance / RSI / momentum / TSE Prime / electric equipment sector / short-term scenario

Support & Resistance Levels and Next Steps

13,300 yen: psychological barrier. A firm break could open 13,500 → 13,800 yen.

13,028 yen: near-term pivot; needs to hold on closing basis.

12,650 yen: strong support; a dip here would be healthy consolidation.

12,335 yen: breaking here = resetting the overheated phase.

11,968 / 11,336 yen: medium-term pivots separating trend continuation vs reversal.

Scenarios for the Coming Sessions

Bullish: 13,028 yen holds, then break above 13,300 → target 13,500 yen.

Neutral: Range trading between 13,028–12,650 yen; thinning volume could favor upside breakout.

Weak: Break below 12,650 yen = test of 12,335 yen, implying longer consolidation.

3-Day Checklist (For Beginners to Intermediates)

1. Does the closing price stay above 13,028 yen?

2. On a breakout, is volume higher than the previous day?

3. Are pullbacks stopping around 12,650 ±1%?

4. Is RSI holding around 70 sideways?

5. Does a red-to-green reversal pattern appear?

Risk and Capital Management Principles

Never all-in, all-out – stagger your decisions

Time over price – wait for confirmation, avoid rushing

Draw lines with numbers – judge conditions by pre-set levels

▼ Paid Section ▼

Why It’s Valuable

Explicit “pass criteria” with numbers, not just triggers

A reproducible 3-step framework: Trigger → Confirm → Act