【September 28, 2025】“3,727 JPY +3.56%” — Above the Cloud × Supported by Short-Term Line × RSI 63 Suggests Further Upside / Specific Scenarios and Price Ladder (For Beginner to Intermediate Investors)

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1. Current Position (Objective Data at Close)

Closing price: 3,727 JPY (+3.56%)

Chart position: Above the daily Ichimoku cloud, with the lagging span above the candles — bullish bias.

Moving averages (from chart labels):

Short-term ≈ 3,718 JPY

Medium-term ≈ 3,647 JPY

Intermediate ≈ 3,654 JPY
→ Price is above all key averages, leaning toward a “perfect order.”

Pivot points: R1=3,745 JPY, P=3,410 JPY (short-term resistance/support references)

Oscillators:

%K ≈ 34.59, %D ≈ 25.76 (turning upward from neutral zone)

RSI = 63.78 (above midline, bullish bias), smoothed RSI = 61.70

MACD: Line 61.5, Signal 53.0, Histogram -8.5 (converging)

1. Technical Implications (Looking Ahead)

Setup: Above cloud × short-term support × RSI in the 60s.

R1 = 3,745 JPY is the immediate test. A breakout opens room toward 3,800+.

Pullback areas: 3,700 ±10 JPY (short-term), deeper at 3,650 JPY (medium-term MA).

A decisive break below 3,625 JPY (cloud top) would signal weakening momentum.

1. Observation Checklist (Next Sessions)

2. Morning session: Does price break 3,745 JPY with volume?

3. Closing check: Can price hold above 3,720 JPY?

4. Momentum: RSI >65 and %K/%D golden cross continuation?

5. If weakening: Watch for heavy volume on a 3,700 JPY breakdown.

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Reading this article will help you clearly understand how to identify “upside continuation potential” vs. “pullback/weakness signs” and apply it in your own analysis.