January 10th: 4 Longshots to Watch | Nakayama Horse Racing | Kyoto Horse Racing | Horse Racing Predictions

January 10th: 4 Longshots to Watch

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Nakayama Race 6: Marine Bunker

December 7th, Nakayama 1800m race.
Bataille led the race,
Lizard Island was in the pocket on the inside,
and then those two horses pulled 5 lengths away from the rest of the field in the straight.
It was a high-level race that finished 1.5 seconds faster than the estimated time.

The horses that chased Bataille from the outside in that race and are running this time are Nishino Breisest, Prospect Park, and Marine Bunker—those three horses.
I would like to say a box bet of these three, but the one to target most is Marine Bunker.

This Marine Bunker also suffered a crushing defeat, finishing 9th in its previous race, but in the straight, where it had excellent momentum, there were two scenes where it got crowded and it finished without being able to be pushed properly. The race itself was also a high-level one that finished 1 second faster than the estimated time.

It ran the Nakayama 1800m twice last April.
In one race, it finished 2nd while lining up at the front at the 4th corner in a race where the front collapsed, and in the other, it finished 3rd while being blocked repeatedly in the straight. As someone who is convinced that it will definitely show a good performance in this class in the near future, it is one horse I want to target while it is unpopular.

A 1-point bet on place (12) and a 2-point bet on wide from 12 to 6 and 15!

Nakayama Race 10: Silver Rain

Silver Rain enters this race after a 2-month break.
This is a race I want it to win.
In the Kisaragi Stakes, which was held under the same conditions two races ago,
it lost, finishing 6th, but it was a ride by jockey Lemaire that was unusually questionable.
It stumbled at the start and was late to get going. During the race, it focused on settling down and followed in the rear. In the straight, where it had excellent momentum, it lost its path with 200m remaining, pulled the reins, and dropped back. It was good that it cut to the inside, but it became cramped again, and in the end, it gave up pushing and finished the race.

This time, there is the aspect that it depends on the ride, but I think it can break through with any tactic: maneuvering in the middle of the pack even if it pulls a bit from a perfect draw, or leading like it did when it finished 3rd in the Ivy Stakes, or even moving to the outside early due to its pulling temperament.

Also, there have been two instances of a 2-month break like this time.
Newcomer race -> 2-month break -> Easy win in a maiden race, and
the other was the Ivy Stakes, which it entered after a 2-month break, finishing 3rd behind the winner Masquerade Ball and the 2nd place finisher Pico Chan Black, who won the Spring Stakes. This is the interval where it has achieved the most results, and in terms of results, I hope it will be active in the Open class soon.

A place bet on Silver Rain and
a 6-point quinella from 4 to 2, 6, 8, 9, 10, and 12.

Difficult Kyoto Horse Racing

Race 7: Vent de Bale, Race 10: Amour Liebe

Looking at the Kyoto horse racing program, this is a Saturday where I cannot find a clear axis.

When the race card was released on Thursday, I had picked up a few horses, but
the draws were the opposite of what I wanted, or they were horses that I felt I had to see in the paddock after a break...

If I were to tell you the horses I wanted to target by ignoring the paddock condition and the draw,

first, Kyoto Race 7: Vent de Bale
Vent de Bale is gradually losing popularity, but although the finishing positions of 4th and 6th in the previous race and four races ago seem to show a lack of finishing power, both were races where it was close to the 2nd place horse, so I think it could run into the money at any time.

Looking at tomorrow's weather forecast, Kyoto Racecourse is forecast to have strong westerly winds.
Strong westerly winds have a strong image of allowing outside closing runs to fit in the Kyoto straight, so if the horse's weight hasn't increased significantly, I would like to target it a little.


The other horse is Kyoto Race 10: Amour Liebe
It has finished 5th in its last two races, and this one also lacks finishing power, but in these two consecutive 5th place finishes, the top horses were all horses that relied on the rail during the race and maneuvered without loss.
In that situation, the consecutive 5th place finishes of Amour Liebe, which moved from the outside, seem to have had value.
I would have liked it to be in an inside draw if possible, but
looking at last week's racing, the track condition cannot be said to be advantageous to the inside. The times are also taking a bit of time, which is a good condition for Amour Liebe.
If jockey Ogino focuses on a closing race by letting it save some energy from the middle of the race, where it was pulling a bit in the previous race, it seems like it could be in the money.
And while I'm at it, I'll say it again:
The wind is a strong westerly wind that is advantageous for outside closing runs.
Isn't this a chance?

I am thinking of buying a quinella total flow with small change for both horses before going to work. (^-^;

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