[Market Maxim] Waiting for luck is equivalent to waiting for death [Explained by a pro]
The sharp-tongued sister of stocks and FX here♪ (▶Twitter)
The person behind the sister worked as a fund manager (I'm a former institutional investor), and now I live independently as a stock investor♪
Read this for links to my past market predictions♪ (◀ I've had a nearly 100% success rate with over 30 consecutive rising stocks♪)
<Table of Contents>
( 1 ) Today's trading diary ( [Market Maxim] Waiting for luck is equivalent to waiting for death )
( 2 ) Futures/OP position data archive ( You can predict the Nikkei 225 in advance )
( 3 ) Futures position data archive
<New articles this week♪>
① [Blog featured stock] Muto Seiko rises significantly by 67%! [Stocks/FX]
② Is it better to ride the bubble? [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
③ [Growth stock] Creek & River (TSE: 4763)
[Market Maxim] Waiting for luck is equivalent to waiting for death [Explained by a pro]
I'll explain today's market maxim♪ It's "Waiting for luck is equivalent to waiting for death"♪
Brother, have you ever bought a stock for the first time because "I'm not sure if it will go up or down, but I just have a feeling", or ended up with unrealized losses and thought, "Please go up... I'm begging you!"?
In most cases, this market maxim means that "there are very few cases where you are saved by waiting for luck"♪ (Sorry if that "stings" a little♪)
Since waiting for luck won't help, if the stock price drops, practice and master either "averaging down" or "cutting losses"! And from next time, stop entering trades just because of a feeling and develop the habit of "
thoroughly thinking about the 'reasons for it to go up'"♪ (If you don't know how to think about it (T T), practice while reading my
rising stock prediction list and various other articles!)
And what I especially want to explain this time is not about waiting for luck and dying, but about what happens after you survive by waiting for luck♪
Actually, people who win consecutive trades by luck tend to have a more miserable life later on♪
If you decide to enter a trade based on sloppy analysis and lose, it's still okay because you get a "chance for reflection and improvement," but if coincidence piles up and you win 2 or 3 times in a row, you'll mistakenly think 'I'm good at this'.
And, the more winning streaks you have, the more your misguided confidence deepens, and more than anything, you get a dopamine rush from the amount you won last time, becoming addicted and increasing the transaction amount per trade more and more.Then, you tend to
hold high-risk positions over and over until you finally suffer a huge loss, so in the end, you are guaranteed to suffer a huge loss. It is truly
small gains, big losses, isn't it♪
If you were lucky enough to have a winning streak, analyze the reason 'why you were able to have a winning streak'♪ (For the answer key, try reading '
Why does beginner's luck happen? '♪)
And, to avoid increasing your trading volume recklessly, position management practice as well♪
( 2 ) Futures OP Trading Data
You can predict the Nikkei Stock Average based on today's Nikkei Futures OP♪
" Futures OP Trading Data " refers to data that allows you to analyze the movements of institutional investors like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs♪ (▼Click to enlarge the image♪)

Please try to read it while looking at my example of how to read it below from ① to ③♪
① What are the benefits of being able to read Futures OP? ▶ You will be able to predict the Nikkei Stock Average with high probability without being swayed by stock news, magazines, or television. (*For details, see 'This Diary')
② My analysis example ▶ ' Analysis of January 29th ' & ' Analysis of February 1st ' (An example where I successfully predicted avoiding a crash on the day stock news was making a fuss about the Nikkei crash)
③ Basic way to read Futures OP & the way only pros do it
( 3 ) Futures Trading Data
You can check the 'number of positions institutional investors are carrying over to the next day'♪
( This is pure futures, not Futures OP♪ )
'BUY means buy positions', 'SELL means sell', 'NET means if the number is positive, there are more buy-side positions, and if it is a negative number, there are more sell-side positions'
(Click to enlarge the image♪)

How to use this table is similar to ' How to read margin trading balances [From beginner to pro edition] '♪
For example, while institutional investors' net buying is increasing, it becomes ' current upward pressure ', and if it increases too much, it becomes ' future selling pressure '♪
Did you learn something this time too♪
If you learned something, try reading the article below too♪
<For beginners to advanced users>
★Summary of articles you must read [Super Important]
★[Stock FX] Conditions for carefully selecting rising stocks [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
<Diary>
◯ Featured stocks are in the national news! [PS5, Demon Slayer, Animal Crossing related]
◯ BBS (TSE: 9658) rises significantly! [Growth stocks]
◯ [Featured stock] Hito-Com HD rises significantly [+60%]
<New Article>
◯ [Stocks/FX] Should you care about PER and PBR? [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
◯ [Music] Can anyone acquire perfect pitch? [Stocks/FX]
◯ [Stocks/FX] Do stocks with increased volume go up? [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
Let's keep doing our best together!
__
※ Notes
◯ Explanations are for reference only. (Sometimes I might be wrong)
Please make final decisions at your own risk.
◯ For questions, please read this link before sending them♪
If your question is selected, it might lead to an addendum or a new article. Sorry if it doesn't get selected♪
◯ For detailed notes, please read here♪
