[Stock Investment] Kirin Holdings [Explained by a Pro]
The sharp-tongued sister of Stock FX here♪ (▶Twitter)
The person behind the sister worked as a fund manager (I'm a former institutional investor), and now I live as an independent stock investor♪
(▶ Click here for my past market prediction track record♪ )
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[Stock Investment] Kirin Holdings [Explained by a Pro]
Kirin Holdings is one of Japan's leading "beverage" companies♪
"Kirin Lemon," "Nama-cha," and "Gogo no Kocha"—I'm sure many of you drink these often, right?
I'm writing this article based on "individual stock investment methods", so be sure to read it♪
Kirin's Performance
( ▼ Click to enlarge the image♪ )
・Performance is stable every year. The "PER/PBR valuation" is about average.
・It's a "high-dividend stock" with a yield of 3% or more♪
Kirin's Technicals
( ▼ This is the daily chart for the past 3 years♪ )
"RSI 30 or below (default settings)" and "the lower end of the trend line" are levels where this stock has mechanically rebounded many times♪ (The red arrows are days when the RSI was 30 or below. The blue arrows are days at the lower end of the trend line♪)
It is a prime example of a stock that repeatedly moves exactly according to the textbook, which is rare in recent stock markets♪
By the way, Kirin's win rate when buying at an RSI (default settings) of 30 or below and selling at 70 is "85% over the past 3 years" and "68% over the past 20 years"♪
Incidentally, if you adapt the usage method to the " method to significantly increase RSI win rates ", it evolves significantly into “a win rate of 82% to 99%, surpassing Kirin over both the past 3 and 20 years for over 3,700 stocks in Japan”, so if it sounds interesting, please give it a read♪
My sharp-tongued sister's overall assessment
<The fair stock price according to my sharp-tongued sister>
( A ) The current stock price is in the 1980 yen range. ( B ) The fair stock price based on fundamentals is 1300 yen to 1450 yen. (◀ Currently, since Kirin has been in a downward trend for several years, it is thought that it will eventually aim for this level.)
<The strategy according to my sharp-tongued sister>① As in the previous chapter, it might be more efficient to buy at an RSI of 30 or below this time and aim for a rebound♪ ② However, since an RSI win rate of 68-85% means there are times when it drops with a probability of 15-32%, it is desirable to
" average down " at the next RSI of 30.
③ If you take profits "below an RSI of 70," the win rate increases further, so "do you want to take a larger profit margin or prioritize the win rate?" That is up to your preference. ▶ ( " Profit-taking techniques " will be useful♪ )
④ If Kirin maintains its current stable performance and falls below the fair stock price mentioned above in the future, the win rate at an RSI of 30 or below is expected to improve from "68%-85%" to ▶ "90%-100%."
If you consider the rules like this, it is hard to lose♪
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(Added on the morning of August 27, 2021)
※ There was a typo, so I corrected the text♪
② (Incorrect) "Since the RSI win rate is 85%" ▶ (Correct) "Since the RSI win rate is 68%-85%"♪
I'm glad I noticed while the stock price fluctuation was within 7 yen!
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※ Notes ▶ As in the middle of " this article ", please only enter stocks using a simulation app or with a very small amount of money♪ I introduce blog-featured stocks for everyone to practice with♪ Regarding "How do you always decide this fair stock price?", I use various techniques written in
★ [Stock/FX] Let's calculate the fair stock price♪ [Corporate Value] which I used as an example in
① [Blog-featured stock] Mitsubishi Corporation [Stock price up 27%]
② [Blog-featured stock] Sun Frontier Fudousan [Stock price up 19.4%]♪
Was this helpful this time too?
If it was helpful, please read the following as well♪
<My sharp-tongued sister's investment method>
◯ [Stock Investment] How to make large profits [From beginners to advanced users]
◯ [Stock/FX] My investment method exactly as it is [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
<<Investment methods to solve your specific problems!>>
<My lifetime balance for stocks/FX is negative, so I want to at least make it positive!>
◯ [Stock/FX] How to significantly increase RSI win rates [Thoroughly explained by a pro]
<Since there are so many investment methods out there, I want to 'master it with just this one book'>
O[Stocks/FX] How to Master Scalping [Thoroughly Explained by a Pro]
Let's keep doing our best together♪
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*Notes
O Explanations are for reference only. (Sometimes I might be wrong)
Please make final decisions at your own risk.
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