♊ Gemini Common Occurrences Short Story: 'The First Piece of Information Never Leaves My Mind'

The 'individuality given by the stars' and the 'cognitive biases people possess'.
We present the 'common occurrences' born at that intersection as short stories.
This time, it's Gemini (Money Edition).

I'm good at tracking information.
I generally have a grasp on trends and what experts are saying.
One day, a sentence that flowed across my timeline caught my eye.
This biotech stock has the potential to
increase 10-fold in the future.
Currently 100 yen → Target 1,000 yen”The person who said this was a charismatic investor who had been right many times before.
(1,000 yen, huh...)
That number was clearly etched into my mind.

I bought it at 100 yen for the time being.
It was a small amount, and I had verified the information.
I thought it was a decent decision.
A few weeks later, the stock price hit 300 yen.
The unrealized gain was sufficient.
But, looking at the screen, I thought:
(The goal is 1,000 yen, right?)
(It's still 'on the way'.)
I didn't sell.

After that, news broke.
Clinical trial failure.
The market was in an uproar, and the stock price plummeted.
The investor in question posted,
'Since the premise has collapsed, I am withdrawing the target stock price,'
and quietly retreated.

But, for some reason, I couldn't accept it.
(No, clinical trials are bound to have failures, right?)
(Maybe it's just a temporary drop.)
(After all, they said it would eventually reach 1,000 yen.)
More than the new information,
the number that was first hammered into me
was much stronger.

The stock price
fell below 100 yen,
and eventually hit 50 yen.
As I closed the screen, I suddenly thought.
There were certainly many chances
to sell at 300 yen.
But,
the phantom of '1,000 yen'
had erased them all.

'I really messed up...'
I muttered that,
and tucked this experience away in my heart as 'expensive tuition'.
Next time,
instead of numbers,
I'll look at the situation.
Because I decided that,
I felt like I had moved forward just a little bit.

☁️ Analysis (Anchoring Bias × Gemini)
A behavioral habit that Gemini is prone to is anchoring bias.
It is a mental mechanism where the first number or piece of information given becomes the 'standard' and binds subsequent judgments.

Gemini is a sign that is sensitive to information
and can quickly grasp the impact of words and numbers.

That is precisely why,
once a strong number enters, it becomes difficult to move away from that 'initial standard'.
The problem is
not the number itself, but

whether you can update the standard when the information is updated

.

🛠 Nudge (Small Trick)
When you see a number, try asking this question:
'Is this number still valid in the current situation?'
You don't need to come up with an answer.
Just by posing the question,
the anchor will weaken just a little.
Gemini also has the power to switch information.

✴️ Afterword
Have you ever had a time when the 'first information you heard' wouldn't leave your head, and you couldn't properly see the profit or situation right in front of you?
If you'd like,
please share your 'experience of being bound by the first information' in the comments section.
By putting it into words like that, it becomes not a failure, but material for noticing your own judgment habits.

📓

NoticeThis series is a project themed around '12 Zodiac Signs × Cognitive Bias × Nudge' that interprets the behavioral habits of each sign from the three perspectives of 'business, human relationships, and money'.On note, I plan to release '12 Zodiac Signs × 1 Theme' sequentially, and while growing it together with readers, I hope to publish the complete version (36 works) on Kindle.
Next time, I plan to deliver Cancer (Business Edition).
It would be a great encouragement if you could support me with a like or follow.

See you next time
in the 'Zodiac Common Occurrences Short'.