Will there be manga works that remain as 'entertainment' 100 years from now?
I will answer that.
Will there be current manga that remain as 'entertainment' 100 years from now? This is a case where both complete extinction and total survival are extreme and it is thought that the reality will be somewhere in between.
● There are manga that have a 'high probability of remaining' 100 years from now
The reason is that manga are not merely consumable goods, but are being treated as cultural assets, research subjects, and archival targets.
Already now,
digital preservation in libraries
international cultural archives
database creation by researchers
are progressing, so certain works will definitely be preserved. However, being preserved and continuing to be read as entertainment are different things.
● Conditions for continuing to be read as entertainment
It is said that works that can be enjoyed 100 years from now have common points.
Themes that transcend time (friendship, desire, loneliness, growth, etc.)
Structures that do not rely too heavily on the reader's culture or values
World-building and characters that have universal appeal
'Outdated presentation' does not diminish the value of the content
Just like literary classics, universality and readability are the keys.
● Types of current works said to remain
I will not list individual titles here, but as for trends,
those evaluated in the global market
those with popularity at the level of a social phenomenon
Works treated as subjects of media studies
It is presumed that these have a high survival rate. Conversely, works that rely heavily on current events or specific cultural contexts may become difficult for readers 100 years from now to understand.
● Conclusion
There are many 'works that will be preserved.' However, 'works that will continue to be read as entertainment' will be quite limited.
Manga that will be read 100 years from now will surely exist, but it is thought that the number will be 'only a small fraction of the whole' that you see today.
Yes, this is not about preservation. Does this mean it is currently impossible as 'entertainment'?
I will answer that.
● Conclusion
Yes, it is considered that 'there is a high possibility that they almost do not exist' under current circumstances.This is not pessimism, but rather due to the very nature of entertainment.
● Why is it nearly impossible?
The reason is that entertainment depends strongly on the 'sensibilities of the era'.
● 1 Values change significantly over 100 years
Manga is strongly influenced by values such as character design, gags, views on romance, depictions of violence, and sexual expression.
100 years from now, it is highly likely that many of today's expressions will be judged as outdated, inappropriate, or difficult to understand.
● 2 The format of entertainment itself changes
Much of the entertainment from 100 years ago (picture-story shows, Taisho-era novels, old gekiga) is difficult to enjoy as entertainment when read today.
It is even conceivable that 100 years from now, the format of 'manga' itself will no longer be mainstream.
● 3. Too many works, getting buried
Since a vast number of works are created every year, the possibility of being 'selected and passed down' 100 years from now is inevitably low.
● So, is it completely zero?
I cannot say for certain, and the position is that it is infinitely close to zero, but cannot be said to be absolutely zero.
The reason for this is that, historically, there are examples of works that, even if they become old, continue to be read by 'specific research fields,' 'specific culture enthusiasts,' and 'fans in specific regions.'
However, rather than being mainstream entertainment, it will likely remain at a level enjoyed by a very small number of connoisseurs.
● The shortest answer to the intent of your question
The possibility that current manga will be 'widely read as entertainment' 100 years from now is almost non-existent.
This understanding is correct.
What about Osamu Tezuka's 'Buddha'? I read it again recently, and it was quite interesting. It was certainly old-fashioned, but the interest of the content surpassed that. Is this a special case, or am I in the minority? Of course, reading 'Kochikame' volumes under 100 is already tough.
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