This path-theoretical analysis of the Open Access transformation has demonstrated how the transformation of the business model in the market for scientific journals became possible only through shadow libraries and preprint servers. Likewise, it has become clear that the transition to Open Access remains contested and potentially reversible if shadow libraries or preprint servers lose influence, through regulatory measures such as network locks, for example. An extensive and primarily scientometric literature has already gathered evidence in a variety of ways about the manners in which the Open Access transformation is changing the scholarly discursive arena toward the ideal type of scholarly public sphere. We refrain from reproducing these results in detail here and refer to recent review articles (e.g.,
Tennant et al. 2016). In what follows, we instead address some theoretical implications of the Open Access transformation for the public sphere that have been little discussed to date: the downsides of change for the scientific public sphere and the consequences of Open Access for a larger, democratic public sphere.
Unintended consequences for the scientific public sphere
The solidification of the Closed Access path and the serials crisis had moved the structure of the scientific public sphere further away from its normative ideal. There is much to suggest that the Open Access transformation is part of a countervailing trend toward the ideal type of a scientific public sphere. However, the Open Access transformation by no means implies a return to an ‘original’ structure of the scientific public sphere. Rather, in addition to the normatively desirable consequences, some unintended consequences of the transformation become apparent from the perspective of Open Access advocates. We discuss four of these potentially problematic side effects in more detail below: Hybrid Open Access business models, predatory journals, Matthew effects and the exacerbation of the discoverability crisis.
One side effect of the Open Access transformation are
Hybrid Open Access business models. This side effect results from struggles relating to the interpretive control over the definition of Open Access. While librarians have succeeded in persuading publishers to switch from subscriptions to Open Access, publishers have used the momentum of the transformation to define Open Access in ways that have exacerbated the economic imbalance of research institutions. Under the heading ‘Hybrid Open Access’, publishers have made it possible for research institutions to make individual articles by their scientists freely available on the Internet in return for the payment of a license. Thus, scientists and research institutions have been able to fulfill their voluntary commitments to exclusive Open Access publication. At the same time, however, publishers have stuck to the subscription model, with the result that individual issues of journals contain both proprietary and freely licensed articles. If research institutions want to make not only their own articles but also the other articles in the journal available to their scientists, they still have to subscribe. However, studies on this so-called ‘double dipping’ have shown that the subscription prices in this system often remain relatively stable, and research institutions thus pay for both the individual Open Access articles and the subscriptions (
Mittermaier 2015). Although the Hybrid Open Access model is criticized by research institutions, major publishers often succeed in deflecting this criticism by pointing out that they have now granted Open Access. In extreme cases, Hybrid Open Access models can therefore contribute to a further decrease in access to scientific literature through Open Access, rather than an increase.
Another side effect of the Open Access transformation is the emergence of
predatory journals. In Open Access models, many publishers generate their revenues not through subscriptions, but through one-time payment of so-called ‘article processing charges’ (APCs). In the shadow of major publishers, new publishers have emerged, whose Open Access journals attempt to siphon off such APCs by offering articles of dubious quality. The business model of predatory publishers and their journals is claiming to conduct peer review, but either not conducting it at all or only conducting it very superficially (
Dobusch and Heimstädt 2019). Through a vast number of spam emails and very short turnaround times for manuscripts, which result from the lack of or only very superficial peer review, predatory journals have made it to a significant number and size. It is estimated that the volume of predatory journals has grown from 1800 in 2010 to more than 8000 in 2014. In 2014,
Shen and Björk (2015) estimated the size of the predatory journals market to be about US$74 million (compared with US$244 million for serious Open Access journals and US$10.5 billion for the total global journal subscription market).
Predatory journals are a danger for individual scientists in several respects. At first glance, predatory journals seem to be an adequate response to growing publication pressure due to their short processing time, but many scientists only realize the journal’s lack of acceptance among colleagues and thus the essential loss of a manuscript for their own career development after publication in such a journal. Predatory journals can also be abused strategically to delegitimize (sub)disciplines through hoax articles. In 1996, the U.S. physicist Alan Sokal published a hoax article in the journal ‘Social Text’ (Sokal 1996b), which he made public as a performative act of criticism of what he saw as the lack of scientificity in postmodern cultural studies (‘Sokal affair’, Sokal 1996a). In a similar but more recent case, philosopher Peter Boghossian and mathematician James Lindsay staged an attack on the discipline of gender studies with their hoax article ‘The Conceptual Penis as a Social Construct’, published in the interdisciplinary and at least tendentially predatory journal ‘Cogent Social Sciences’ (Boghossian & Lindsay 2017). In their attempt to delegitimize the discipline, they drew attention to an overly superficial and unscientific peer review but failed to reflect on the journal’s at least questionable quality. Finally, predatory journals also offer opportunities for ‘science washing’, that is, the production of supposedly scientific knowledge to support questionable to pseudoscientific theses in public, non-scientific discourse.
Another negative side effect of certain forms of the Open Access transformation could be that the change in major publishers’ business model will entrench or even increase existing inequalities in the science system (
Pooley 2020). Specifically, there is a concern that the ‘
Matthew effect’ (
Merton 1968), which has been widely demonstrated in academia, will now be reinforced via the Open Access business models of academic publishers by linking the opportunity to publish in reputation-enhancing journals to the economic resources of individual scientists (or the academic institutions at which they are employed). This concern seems justified at this stage, when scientists from systems with Publish&Read contracts are compared with scientists from resource-poor systems without Publish&Read contracts. In this case, Publish&Read contracts are associated with an attention advantage over others for participating research institutions, because their contributions are more openly accessible and thus more frequently cited. Institutions from countries of the Global South generally do not have those contract structures at their disposal in a comparable way (
Pooley 2020). Even more, studies such as those by
Omobowale et al. (2014) rather suggest that the aforementioned predatory journals are predominantly used by marginalized scholars from the Global South, further deepening reputational differences. Altogether, the commodity-based forms of Open Access transformation – whether with author fees or Publish&Read contracts – are unable to overcome global inequality regimes, or in some respects may even entrench them. We reflect on possible alternatives to this at the end of this article.
The concern about Matthew effects seems to be less relevant when comparing scientists with publish-and-read contracts (
Mittermaier et al. 2018). In these cases, on the contrary, there is a justified assumption that Open Access contributes to equalizing existing inequalities. In the libraries of less research-intensive institutions, the switch to publish-and-read contracts should free up budget capacities, which can be used in turn to purchase niche journals and monographs. At the same time, it seems possible that research-intensive institutions will expend more financial resources than on the subscription path. It is to be expected that this situation will give rise to internal university processes around the redistribution of budgets, the outcome of which may vary greatly between universities. Fundamentally, however, these considerations show that publish-and-read contracts tend to reduce inequality between more and less research-intensive institutions. Moreover, the criticism that Open Access increases inequality by tying publication opportunities to capital investment can also be debunked from another perspective. About 70 % of Open Access journals listed in the Directory of Open Access Journals do not charge APCs (
Mittermaier et al. 2018, p. 9). Even if institutional budgets are exhausted and no further funds can be acquired, scientists have wide-ranging opportunities for publication. Libraries are also able to budget in such a way that sufficient funds are made available for (in the view of scientists) ‘indispensable top journals’ – even in the face of fluctuating publication performance (from year to year) (
Mittermaier et al. 2018, pp. 7–10).
Another potentially negative side effect under discussion is whether the growing number of Open Access journals further exacerbates the discoverability crisis and filtering problems (see the section on ‘specialization’ above) in science. Critics base their arguments on the observation that in the run-up to Publish&Read agreements, many new Open Access journals emerged in parallel with proprietary licensed journals. Among those re-establishments there are serious competitors to existing Closed Access journals, predatory journals and Open Access journals founded by major publishers as ‘mirror journals’ (often with identical editors) of existing Closed Access journals as another variation of the double dipping described above. Even if Open Access increases formal accessibility, the number of re-establishments could further exacerbate the already existent filtering problem of science and thus undermine the ideal of a scientific public sphere. However, it was clear from our analysis of path breaking that the absolute increase in journals is not a side effect of the Open Access transformation, but an upstream phenomenon in time. The creation of new Open Access journals was not a reaction to Publish&Read contracts but was the result of a situation in which major publishers resisted entering into Publish&Read contracts. As Publish&Read contracts become more widespread, it can be assumed that at least the quantity of Open Access sister journals and serious competing products will not continue to increase.
There is another reason why the causal link between Open Access and the filtering problem in science is implausible. In order to deal with the filtering problem, it is necessary to either limit the scope of scientific publishing (e.g., indirectly by asking applicants to submit only a narrowly defined number of publications) or to change the filtering procedures. Artificially limiting publication output is a direct contradiction to the professional autonomy of scientists and the ideal of academic freedom. Thus, hopes for addressing the filtering problem lie in the development of new filtering systems. Open Access publications are better suited than proprietary licensed scientific publications for the development of such systems. Systems for filtering scientific information draw on both the metadata and the full digital texts of scientific articles. The more freely metadata and full texts are available, the better they can be read, evaluated, processed and combined with data sets from other filter systems (
Kraker et al. 2021).
Interactions with the democratic public sphere
The scientific public sphere does not exist in isolation but is embedded in a ‘network of different overlapping spaces of communication’ (
Fraser 2009, p. 151, own translation;
Habermas 1990;
Habermas 1992). Our interest in this article is in the overlaps between the scientific public sphere and the larger ‘political public sphere of the democratic polity’ (
Nanz 2009, p. 358, own translation;
Habermas 1990). Therefore, we examine the consequences of the Open Access transformation for the democratic public sphere by focusing on three points of contact: journalism, knowledge commons and expertise.
Journalism is a key avenue through which scientific research results can gain significance in a larger, democratic public sphere. For example, scientific studies can complement reporting on daily economic, political or cultural issues. But they can also be the focus of coverage in the context of science journalism itself. Especially in online journalism, Open Access offers journalists new opportunities to weave scientific studies into their reporting. While studies could only be cited in print journalism in the form of footnotes or similar references, online formats allow direct links to scientific studies. However, linking only offers added value for readers if the digital version of the study is also openly accessible. If journalists want to use the possibilities of direct linking (e.g., to signal professional values such as diligence and evidence orientation), it is logical to refer primarily to Open Access studies. In bibliometric research on the media reception of Open Access articles (
Tennant et al. 2016, pp. 7–10), this effect is discussed as the ‘general media advantage’ (
Tennant et al. 2016, p. 10) of Open Access over proprietary licensed articles.
Alongside journalism, digital
knowledge commons have developed into important points of contact between the scientific and democratic public sphere over the past two decades. The most important of these knowledge commons is probably the collaborative online encyclopedia Wikipedia, which is supported by the non-profit, donation-funded sponsoring organization Wikimedia. Wikipedia is one of the most frequently visited websites in Germany and worldwide (
Wikipedia, n.d.). It thus represents an important media infrastructure of the democratic public – both as a source of information for participants in the discourse arena and as a contested communicative space within itself. Reference to (scientific) sources is an important element of the writing practice within the community of volunteer Wikipedia authors. Analogous to online journalism, an online encyclopedia offers the possibility to link directly to scholarly sources. Bibliographic research on Wikipedia shows that editors primarily receive and link to studies that are accessible without institutional access via a research library (
Teplitskiy et al. 2017). One difference between online journalism and online encyclopedias is the scope of potentially citable sources. Journalistic media still tend to work with limits on text length and number of sources, even in the online realm. Thus, the preferred use of Open Access studies does not influence the absolute number of studies cited, but only their selection. In digital knowledge commons such as Wikipedia, however, there are usually no such editorial restrictions. The more Open Access-studies are published on a topic, the more can be cited as sources in Wikipedia articles. Communities around digital knowledge commons thus act as ‘amplifiers’ (
Teplitskiy et al. 2017, p. 2117) of Open Access scholarly articles, as articles from Open Access journals are cited significantly more frequently in sub-publics such as Wikipedia than articles from proprietary licensed journals with a comparable JIF. Via the creation processes of digital knowledge commons, the Open Access transformation of the scientific public sphere is thus leading in part to a ‘scientification’ (
Weingart 1983, own translation) of the democratic public sphere.
A third point of contact between the two publics is the performance of
scientific expertise aimed at a democratic public. This is happening both individually through appearances in the mass media, such as the regular podcast ‘Coronavirus Update’ with virologist Christian Drosten, and as co-authors of public expert opinions and recommendations for action, such as the ad hoc statements on the coronavirus pandemic by the Leopoldina. In most cases in which scientists appear in the democratic public sphere as experts, they are confronted with ‘trans-scientific questions’ (
Weinberg 1972) that they
cannot answer according to scientific standards but nevertheless
have to answer. In the days of the Closed Access path, experts could deal with this tension by means of a fiction of consensus: A topic that was quite controversial within the scientific public sphere could be presented more clearly to the democratic public, since members of the larger public usually had little opportunity to compare the expertise with broader scientific discourse. Criticism of the clarity of presentation could therefore be voiced only by other experts, if at all.
The Open Access transformation opens up the possibility of criticizing scientific expertise to new groups of actors in the democratic public sphere. When scientific articles are freely accessible, scientists take a considerable risk when they give an unambiguous answer to trans-scientific questions despite scientific ambiguity (or even unanswerability). The Open Access transformation is changing the presentation of scientific expertise by making previous forms of presentation more difficult and thus pushing scientists to explore new forms of presentation. We observe at least two strategies of expertise under Open Access conditions. Some scholars take the broad accessibility of scientific research as an opportunity to link their scientific expertise much more closely to their own research, avoiding more general statements and educated guesses. Other scientists adopt a strategy of ‘performing authenticity’ (
Reckwitz 2017, p. 137, own translation) and present themselves to their audience as credible experts, not by making particularly unambiguous statements but by signaling their trust in the public’s ability to deal responsibly with the ambiguity of science (for an example regarding the communication of uncertainty around preprints, see
Heimstädt 2020; see also
Bauer et al. 2023).